Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 13.555947 15.112987 16.794806 18.749415 20.962349 23.394290 26.275135
2025-08-03 11.090794 13.211461 15.677551 18.769938 22.561719 27.081889 32.911848
2025-08-10 9.269494 11.663201 14.623228 18.581378 23.778741 30.430018 39.681608
2025-08-17 7.902189 10.412152 13.681971 18.302647 24.742691 33.516813 46.576286
2025-08-24 6.894365 9.452983 12.940341 18.113167 25.714581 36.670309 54.014979
2025-08-31 6.141272 8.721155 12.381272 18.051150 26.791517 40.053835 62.285719
2025-09-07 5.665425 8.310154 12.204249 18.486510 28.618671 44.766162 73.371105
2025-09-14 5.130261 7.739706 11.708317 18.343451 29.482404 48.031679 82.575941
2025-09-21 4.624565 7.153261 11.111772 17.945732 29.842536 50.464792 90.682812
2025-09-28 4.241849 6.717004 10.698624 17.784883 30.556269 53.566779 100.502093
2025-10-05 4.059835 6.584780 10.761498 18.432280 32.764901 59.655834 117.175073
2025-10-12 3.891175 6.455113 10.809543 19.048989 34.984571 66.073830 135.722731
2025-10-19 3.671574 6.223773 10.669412 19.327834 36.645969 71.752780 154.093624
2025-10-26 3.400449 5.876855 10.289814 19.112010 37.305871 75.507704 168.994909
2025-11-02 3.145241 5.535135 9.885892 18.800711 37.727198 78.825235 183.603874
2025-11-09 2.913061 5.214763 9.490397 18.458702 38.034092 81.936611 198.398954
2025-11-16 2.718976 4.948597 9.172480 18.237304 38.570275 85.653086 215.600898
2025-11-23 2.559783 4.735144 8.936590 18.159459 39.414993 90.232598 236.206529
2025-11-30 2.468273 4.645291 8.937286 18.589674 41.493122 98.179671 268.281581
2025-12-07 2.326451 4.443152 8.690136 18.441619 42.169360 102.688003 291.369060
2025-12-14 2.173153 4.205431 8.347916 18.039469 42.165681 105.412241 309.659163
2025-12-21 2.054533 4.029494 8.120415 17.876638 42.740049 109.793334 334.412702
2025-12-28 2.013488 4.012071 8.231646 18.527229 45.512320 120.816299 384.558054